Quelle: What We Got Wrong In Our 2015 U.K. General Election Model | FiveThirtyEight
Nice take down of someone’s own work. If only more people would be so honest.
Mai 082015
Mai 082015
I went to bed last night living the nightmare of David Cameron and the Conservatives being predicted to win the UK 2015 General Election. Woke up this morning to find that the nightmare will last another five years. I, like many others, thought that the exit polls must have been wrong based on a seemingly vanishingly small number of people asked (22,000 or about 35 per Seat) and the fact that the exit polls differed so dramatically to the pre-election polls.
But, let me look on the bright side. Those exit poll people have gotten fantastically good at the job. Predicting the outcome with such accuracy was unknown earlier. This is a testament to the science upon which the pollsters base their methods and predictions.
Mai 082015
Well done Britains… after yesterday’s general election voting you can kiss your NHS goodbye.
Apr 072015
Not only an eye-opener for those new to Macroeconomics but also to many who think they know about these things from reading certain popular books…
Mrz 192015
Despite all appearances to the contrary, this is not something for the fashion concious one-eyed trouser-snake to wear.
The Gentleman’s Single-Use Monocle by Zachary Weiner — Kickstarter.
Mrz 032015
banksy auf Twitter: „http://t.co/bcdJ9JA7Om“.
A wonderful visualisation of how we see and interpret the world.
Mrz 022015
It would appear that the original posting of this sign has disappeared, sadly.
Here, in case the link get’s restricted, the link to the article about the article that has already disappeared…
We offer three kinds of service/ Wir bieten 3 Servicearten an | klein.multimediadesign.
Mrz 022015
This,
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-31696707
Is worse than it sounds. And, look at his grinning face.
So, his lawyer reads a statement to the court apparently admitting his guilt and expressing his regret. Whereupon the court gives him a measly fine (come on, five thousand Euros for a German Politician is probably less than one month’s take-home pay) and no criminal record.
Then, he has the audacity to go onto social media and say he is innocent and did not confess.
And People wonder why no-one believes or trusts politicians.
Feb 252015
In case anyone is still wondering how „Applied“ Kinesiologie works, there is a section of this video where they explain it:
http://goodthinkingsociety.org/good-thinking-investigates-sosatec-wellbalancer/
Poiler: It’s a trick.
Never judge a book by its cover I always say.
BlahBlah, Scepticism, Social
Kommentare deaktiviert für Never judge a book by its cover I always say.
Jan 142015
I was just talking to somebody and they told me they were on their way to Japan for two weeks.
„Have you ever been to Japan“ they asked?
„No“ I replied, „but I have a friend who is a real Japanophile and he even took part of his holiday while there to spend some time clearing up after The Tsunami and Fukushima“ I said proudly.
„I helped as well“ they said with even more pride because they had themselves done something.
„Oh?“ I asked
„Yes, I sent some crystals, they help with cleaning up as well“ …
Mental sound of my brain crashing gears, trying to engage reverse.
I look again, sometimes I’m wrong and you *can* tell a book by its cover..
Even as I write my mind is telling me it has been ambushed. I was made so unsure I had to check if I should write „its“ or „it’s“. I keep being presented images of Amethysts and Quartz Crystals dressed in overalls pushing a street cleaner’s cart or cleaning the air by inhaling „radiation“.